Published Research
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ResearchMarriage, Divorce, and Asymmetric InformationIn answers to unique questions from the National Survey of Families and Households, spouses reveal information about the value of their options outside of marriage as well as their beliefs about the value of their spouses’ outside options. We use this data to demonstrate several features of household bargaining.
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ResearchThe Impact of the National School Lunch Program on Child Health: A Nonparametric Bounds AnalysisChildren in households reporting the receipt of free or reduced-price school meals through the National School Lunch Program (NSLP) are more likely to have negative health outcomes than observationally similar nonparticipants. Assessing causal effects of the program is made difficult, however, by missing counterfactuals and systematic underreporting of program participation.
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ResearchHow the Past Shapes the Present: Five Ways in Which History Affects China’s Contemporary Foreign Relations
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ResearchIdentification of Expected Outcomes in a Data Error Mixing Model with Multiplicative MeanWe consider the problem of identifying a mean outcome in corrupt sampling where the observed outcome is drawn from a mixture of the distribution of interest and another distribution. Relaxing the contaminated sampling assumption that the outcome is statistically independent of the mixing process, we assess the identifying power of an assumption that the conditional means of the distributions differ by a factor of proportionality.
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ResearchA Government Out of Sight: The Mystery of National Authority in Nineteenth-Century AmericaWhile it is obvious that America’s state and local governments were consistently active during the nineteenth century, a period dominated by laissez-faire, political historians of twentieth-century America have assumed that the national government did very little during this period. A Government Out of Sight challenges this premise, chronicling the ways in which the national government intervened powerfully in the lives of nineteenth-century Americans through the law, subsidies, and the use of third parties (including state and local governments), while avoiding bureaucracy.
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Research‘Keep Your Government Hands Off My Medicare:’ A Prescription that Progressives Should FillThe state has consistently been displaced by individual initiative and market mechanisms in personal and collective memory and, more often than not, scholarly interpretations as well. Progressives, however, would do well to embrace rather than deride this pattern.
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ResearchThe Mechanisms of Policy DiffusionLocal policy adoptions provide an excellent opportunity to test among potential mechanisms of policy diffusion. By examining three types of antismoking policy choices by the 675 largest U.S. cities between 1975 and 2000, we uncover robust patterns of policy diffusion, yielding three key findings.
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ResearchTeacher Preparation and Student AchievementThere are fierce debates over the best way to prepare teachers. Some argue that easing entry into teaching is necessary to attract strong candidates, while others argue that investing in high quality teacher preparation is the most promising approach.
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ResearchA Formal Model of Learning and Policy DiffusionWe present a model of learning and policy choice across governments. Governments choose policies with known ideological positions but initially unknown valence benefits, possibly learning about those benefits between the model’s two periods.
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ResearchTurning around Chronically Low-Performing Schools: A Practice GuideThis guide identifies practices that can improve the performance of chronically low-performing schools — a process commonly referred to as creating “turnaround schools.” The four recommendations in this guide work together to help failing schools make adequate yearly progress.
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ResearchWhy Spy: Espionage in an Age of UncertaintyWhat motivates someone to risk his or her life in the shadowy, often dangerous world of espionage? What are the needs and opportunities for spying amid the “war on terrorism”? And how can the United States recruit spies to inform its struggle with Islamic fundamentalists’ acts of anti-Western jihad?
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ResearchThe Skin Color Paradox and the American Racial OrderDark-skinned blacks in the United States have lower socioeconomic status, more punitive relationships with the criminal justice system, diminished prestige, and less likelihood of holding elective office compared with their lighter counterparts. This phenomenon of “colorism” both occurs within the African American community and is expressed by outsiders, and most blacks are aware of it.

